Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#120
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#88
Pace64.5#255
Improvement-3.1#303

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#101
First Shot+1.2#142
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#83
Layup/Dunks-1.8#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#32
Freethrows-2.7#315
Improvement+1.3#105

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#175
First Shot+1.1#135
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#283
Layups/Dunks+0.1#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#91
Freethrows-1.2#247
Improvement-4.3#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 11   Virginia L 51-76 12%     0 - 1 -9.6 +2.4 -18.2
  Nov 14, 2016 350   Presbyterian W 61-42 98%     1 - 1 -3.4 -11.3 +11.0
  Nov 18, 2016 269   @ High Point L 57-63 74%     1 - 2 -10.0 -10.7 +0.1
  Nov 19, 2016 167   North Dakota St. W 65-54 60%     2 - 2 +11.0 +0.9 +11.6
  Nov 20, 2016 210   Navy W 72-59 70%     3 - 2 +10.0 +15.9 -3.0
  Nov 29, 2016 349   N.C. A&T W 86-66 98%     4 - 2 -2.0 -7.1 +3.6
  Dec 03, 2016 214   Liberty W 72-65 72%     5 - 2 +3.6 +3.1 +0.8
  Dec 09, 2016 29   Wake Forest L 75-78 23%     5 - 3 +7.4 +6.1 +1.1
  Dec 19, 2016 111   @ UNC Asheville W 75-73 38%     6 - 3 +7.6 +8.9 -1.2
  Dec 22, 2016 62   @ Georgetown L 56-78 20%     6 - 4 -10.7 -8.6 -2.9
  Dec 28, 2016 297   @ The Citadel W 95-87 80%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +1.8 -3.1 +3.4
  Dec 31, 2016 162   Samford L 62-73 69%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -13.4 -9.1 -5.2
  Jan 02, 2017 124   Chattanooga W 73-68 61%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +4.6 +7.3 -2.3
  Jan 07, 2017 317   Western Carolina W 76-57 92%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +6.1 +9.2 -1.2
  Jan 12, 2017 69   @ East Tennessee St. W 83-79 23%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +14.4 +15.8 -1.4
  Jan 14, 2017 324   @ VMI W 91-82 85%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +0.7 +15.3 -14.3
  Jan 19, 2017 146   Mercer W 68-66 65%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +0.6 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 21, 2017 297   The Citadel W 81-72 90%     13 - 5 7 - 1 -2.2 -1.9 -0.4
  Jan 25, 2017 135   @ Wofford L 74-93 44%     13 - 6 7 - 2 -15.0 +3.1 -18.8
  Jan 28, 2017 106   Furman L 67-73 56%     13 - 7 7 - 3 -4.8 +1.1 -6.5
  Feb 02, 2017 124   @ Chattanooga L 68-91 42%     13 - 8 7 - 4 -18.3 -1.2 -17.1
  Feb 04, 2017 162   @ Samford W 81-75 50%     14 - 8 8 - 4 +8.7 +13.1 -4.0
  Feb 11, 2017 317   @ Western Carolina W 76-68 84%     15 - 8 9 - 4 +0.2 +6.7 -6.3
  Feb 15, 2017 135   Wofford W 74-55 64%     16 - 8 10 - 4 +18.0 +5.3 +14.6
  Feb 18, 2017 106   @ Furman W 73-52 36%     17 - 8 11 - 4 +27.2 +10.0 +19.2
  Feb 22, 2017 146   @ Mercer W 72-66 46%     18 - 8 12 - 4 +9.7 +14.4 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2017 324   VMI W 74-67 89%     19 - 8 13 - 4 -3.9 -2.6 -1.0
  Feb 27, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. W 72-66 39%     20 - 8 14 - 4 +11.4 +4.3 +7.1
  Mar 04, 2017 297   The Citadel W 76-67 85%     21 - 8 +0.3 -0.6 +1.4
  Mar 05, 2017 135   Wofford W 77-73 54%     22 - 8 +5.5 +2.9 +2.7
  Mar 06, 2017 69   East Tennessee St. L 74-79 30%     22 - 9 +2.9 +12.6 -10.2
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%